Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.003256 0.003561 0.003886 0.004258 0.004676 0.005129 0.005661
2025-12-21 0.002688 0.003106 0.003582 0.004169 0.004876 0.005707 0.006766
2025-12-28 0.002371 0.002840 0.003401 0.004125 0.005045 0.006188 0.007735
2026-01-04 0.002174 0.002682 0.003310 0.004155 0.005275 0.006734 0.008815
2026-01-11 0.001987 0.002510 0.003176 0.004101 0.005375 0.007101 0.009677
2026-01-18 0.001840 0.002373 0.003069 0.004065 0.005482 0.007472 0.010572
2026-01-25 0.001710 0.002246 0.002963 0.004014 0.005553 0.007790 0.011410
2026-02-01 0.001619 0.002162 0.002906 0.004022 0.005706 0.008233 0.012481
2026-02-08 0.001520 0.002061 0.002815 0.003972 0.005762 0.008527 0.013341
2026-02-15 0.001426 0.001959 0.002715 0.003899 0.005772 0.008744 0.014090
2026-02-22 0.001367 0.001905 0.002680 0.003918 0.005926 0.009203 0.015305
2026-03-01 0.001335 0.001886 0.002696 0.004017 0.006214 0.009909 0.017047
2026-03-08 0.001261 0.001804 0.002615 0.003962 0.006253 0.010211 0.018119
2026-03-15 0.001187 0.001717 0.002520 0.003880 0.006241 0.010426 0.019066
2026-03-22 0.001128 0.001651 0.002455 0.003840 0.006297 0.010767 0.020309
2026-03-29 0.001089 0.001613 0.002432 0.003867 0.006473 0.011348 0.022141
2026-04-05 0.001038 0.001553 0.002367 0.003818 0.006505 0.011653 0.023417
2026-04-12 0.000994 0.001501 0.002314 0.003785 0.006562 0.012011 0.024867
2026-04-19 0.000950 0.001448 0.002255 0.003738 0.006586 0.012305 0.026211
2026-04-26 0.000920 0.001415 0.002229 0.003746 0.006719 0.012836 0.028218
2026-05-03 0.000882 0.001368 0.002175 0.003700 0.006739 0.013128 0.029673
2026-05-10 0.000843 0.001317 0.002112 0.003632 0.006710 0.013307 0.030865
2026-05-17 0.000820 0.001293 0.002095 0.003650 0.006858 0.013900 0.033279